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12 April 2026

As weather betting grows on prediction markets, climate experts are debating whether it improves forecasts by aggregating knowledge or is simply a zero-sum game (Bloomberg)

Bloomberg:
As weather betting grows on prediction markets, climate experts are debating whether it improves forecasts by aggregating knowledge or is simply a zero-sum game  —  From Kalshi and Polymarket to niche scientific platforms, traders are predicting the weather — and climate experts are debating the results.

Posted from: this blog via Microsoft Power Automate.

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